Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 11.053051 12.980922 15.092630 17.570351 20.390464 23.492800 27.156048
2025-04-13 7.220304 9.655470 12.620768 16.463245 21.272753 27.053142 34.480807
2025-04-20 5.779308 8.551924 12.213429 17.322308 24.172848 32.937319 44.876199
2025-04-27 4.910255 7.908967 12.143342 18.415251 27.296095 39.222729 56.208882
2025-05-04 4.101107 7.141740 11.704616 18.832836 29.419527 44.244399 66.173739
2025-05-11 3.377677 6.337441 11.041575 18.762959 30.741718 48.160388 74.811044
2025-05-18 2.759598 5.568093 10.285652 18.400456 31.512690 51.253934 82.402552
2025-05-25 2.265921 4.907123 9.586089 17.999696 32.121860 54.077068 89.708169
2025-06-01 1.866866 4.334058 8.936613 17.572027 32.597077 56.667428 96.763550
2025-06-08 1.479611 3.698007 8.066830 16.631464 32.089883 57.615690 101.260355
2025-06-15 1.349676 3.569167 8.123095 17.348148 34.455669 63.337415 113.664977
2025-06-22 1.211205 3.391992 8.054883 17.813749 36.400567 68.466731 125.381513
2025-06-29 0.983809 2.974202 7.467869 17.280475 36.623079 70.928723 133.256394
2025-07-06 0.763935 2.517810 6.724589 16.348378 36.037640 72.007967 139.001344
2025-07-13 0.701200 2.457186 6.851547 17.233228 39.020099 79.629575 156.536234
2025-07-20 0.656744 2.436079 7.065655 18.327389 42.508458 88.396901 176.600772
2025-07-27 0.581060 2.301370 6.980541 18.744401 44.658644 94.826323 192.850166
2025-08-03 0.494057 2.103954 6.700405 18.675017 45.785704 99.392091 205.964089
2025-08-10 0.409628 1.885471 6.320980 18.314017 46.246164 102.689313 216.900274
2025-08-17 0.338129 1.685382 5.949638 17.914887 46.571690 105.723337 227.489758
2025-08-24 0.277949 1.503299 5.590036 17.488957 46.783895 108.525677 237.770361
2025-08-31 0.215682 1.283551 5.066249 16.552238 45.720968 108.641508 242.821249
2025-09-07 0.199924 1.260185 5.152538 17.265990 48.587236 117.062850 264.653677